Published in Futures, the journal of forecasting, planning and policy, 1998
Prospects for overcoming scarcity
This paper provides a general overview of the fresh water scarcity that parts of the world are facing today and will increasingly face in the coming decades. It demonstrates why and how many countries, especially developing and newly industrialized regions in the Middle East, Africa, Asia and South America will be vulnerable to lack of water. It shows how this will affect health, mortality and the prospects for peace if nothing is done to correct the imbalance between supply and demand. It is argued that scarcity is largely the result of poor water management and that with the implementation of proven methods of raising the efficiency of water withdrawal, use and consumption on the one hand, and of more efficient and integrated water supply on the other, the problem could be solved.
Open the full article from Op zoek here in pdf.Water today and tomorrow